Tip: Sion to win
Sion are enjoying their best start to a season in six years, collecting 10 points from their first five games and achieving valuable results against Basel and Young Boys. The home side’s defence has been excellent – only St. Gallen have conceded fewer goals in the league. A key figure has been striker Josias Lukembila, who has already scored three goals and matched his tally from the entire previous season. Servette, on the other hand, are in crisis, with only two points from five matches, making this their worst start since the 2012/13 campaign. They also have one of the weakest attacks in the league, with just six goals scored. Their main hope might be the fact they have gone unbeaten in their last seven visits to Sion, drawing five of those matches. However, Servette are sweating over the fitness of goalkeeper Frick and striker Guillemenot, which could further complicate their situation. Sion, by contrast, can rely on their home form and clinical finishing, having scored 10 goals from just 5.8 xG, the most efficient conversion rate in the league. We expect Sion’s momentum and efficiency to make the difference, and the home side should collect all three points.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals
Lugano are experiencing one of the worst starts to a league season in club history, having picked up only three points from their first five matches and already losing four times. The positive sign is that they managed a 3-1 home victory over Basel, which should boost their confidence. Lausanne-Sport are struggling even more, losing four matches in a row, but they have scored in 11 consecutive league games, which is a club record. Matches between these two sides are often entertaining – last season’s head-to-heads produced 16 goals in total. Both teams rank among the biggest underperformers in terms of expected goals: Lugano have scored just five times from 9.0 xG, while Lausanne have only seven goals from 9.5 xG. Defensively, neither team is flawless – Lausanne have conceded a goal from a corner in four consecutive matches, while Lugano’s transition defence has looked shaky. Kevin Behrens is crucial for the hosts, winning over 70% of his aerial duels and posing a major threat from set pieces. We expect an open, attack-minded match with at least three goals scored.