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German Bundesliga Matchday 7 Preview (October 17–19, 2025) – 17.-19.10. 2025

Union Berlin vs Borussia Monchengladbach (17.10.2025, 20:30)

Tip: Double chance Union Berlin (1X)

The Bundesliga returns from the international break with a Friday night clash at An der Alten Försterei, where Union Berlin host Borussia Monchengladbach. The home side have endured a difficult start to the season, failing to score in their last two league games and going 214 minutes without a goal. Defensive issues have also been a problem, with 13 goals conceded – the third-worst record in the league. Despite that, Union have collected seven points, four of which came in their last three games, suggesting a slight improvement in form. The main goal now will be to end a two-match losing streak against Gladbach and secure their first victory over this opponent in nearly two years. The visitors have also struggled – after a disastrous start to the season, a coaching change brought Eugen Polanski to the helm, and the team has shown signs of life. Two draws against Freiburg and Leverkusen demonstrated resilience, although a crazy 4-6 defeat to Frankfurt highlighted ongoing defensive fragility. Gladbach are winless in 13 Bundesliga matches and still dealing with a lengthy injury list, including striker Tim Kleindienst. Union also have some absences, but the return of Robert Skov should boost their attacking threat. Home advantage, better current form and Gladbach’s defensive struggles indicate that Union are unlikely to lose this one.

FC Köln vs Augsburg (18.10.2025, 15:30)

Tip: FC Köln to win

Köln have started the season strongly and under coach Lukas Kwasniok have developed into a well-organised and efficient team, especially on home soil. The 'Billy Goats' opened the scoring in five of their six matches so far and kept a clean sheet against Hoffenheim, underlining their defensive improvement. Their compact midfield and solid back line are key to limiting opponents’ chances. Augsburg, meanwhile, may have beaten Wolfsburg last time out, but their overall form remains inconsistent – four defeats in their last five games and a leaky defence away from home. They also have the lowest expected goals (xG) figure in the league and continue to struggle in attack. Head-to-head statistics also favour Köln, with Augsburg failing to beat them in their last five attempts. If the hosts maintain their early-season form, they should comfortably overcome their weakened opponents and confirm their status as favourites.

Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen (18.10.2025, 15:30)

Tip: Werder Bremen to win

This relegation six-pointer could prove decisive even at this early stage of the season. Heidenheim have been struggling from the start and sit bottom of the table with just three points. Their attacking output is among the worst in the Bundesliga – only four goals scored and very few chances created inside the penalty area point to deeper offensive issues. Coach Frank Schmidt faces further problems with key forwards Pieringer and Conteh both out, forcing Kerber into an unfamiliar attacking role. Heidenheim also have a bad habit of conceding first and rarely recover once behind. Werder have also been inconsistent but a 1-0 win over St. Pauli and two clean sheets in their last four matches suggest some progress. Defensive problems remain – they have conceded three or more goals in four of their six league games – but an attack led by Njinmah is capable of punishing mistakes on the break. Away form is poor, but this is a good opportunity to end a run of three defeats in their last four on the road. Bremen have the stronger squad, greater individual quality and superior mental resilience, which could prove decisive in a high-pressure match. If they minimise defensive errors, their attacking edge should make the difference. Considering Heidenheim’s issues, Bremen look set to claim all three points.

Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen (18.10.2025, 15:30)

Tip: Bayer Leverkusen to win

Mainz have made a disastrous start to the season and look more like relegation candidates than a mid-table side. Bo Henriksen’s men have lost four of their last six league games and their defence continues to crumble – they conceded six unanswered goals in their last two outings. Their home record is particularly alarming: they haven’t won since February, have lost all three home league games this season and haven’t scored a single goal in front of their own fans. Creativity in midfield and efficiency in front of goal remain major concerns. Leverkusen, by contrast, have found a new lease of life under Kasper Hjulmand and are unbeaten in seven matches since their August defeat to Hoffenheim. Their playstyle has become more direct and purposeful, resulting in three important league wins and a climb towards the European places. The team is well-organised, capable of controlling the tempo and lethal on the counter. Creative players like Wirtz and Grimaldo are likely to exploit Mainz’s defensive weaknesses with ease. The gulf in quality and form between the sides is significant. Mainz might rely on home advantage, but even that is unlikely to stop Leverkusen from taking all three points.

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV (18.10.2025, 15:30)

Tip: RB Leipzig to win

RB Leipzig responded perfectly to their opening-day humiliation by Bayern and are now firmly back in the fight for the top spots. Four wins in their last five league games and a five-match unbeaten run underline the team’s resurgence under Ole Werner. Leipzig boast strong attacking power, defensive discipline and a formidable home record – they have yet to drop a point at the Red Bull Arena this season. Historically, they also have an outstanding record against promoted sides, which reflects both their strength and mentality. Hamburg needed time to find their rhythm after promotion, losing their first three games without scoring, but recent results have been more encouraging. A 4-0 victory over Mainz was a major boost, yet their attack remains toothless away from home – three away games without a goal highlight a significant weakness. The absence of Vieira and several key injuries further limit coach Polzin’s options. Leipzig, on the other hand, have depth, creativity and momentum on their side. If they maintain a high press and sharp transitions, they should dominate this contest. All the statistics, form and quality indicators point towards a home win.

Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart (18.10.2025, 15:30)

Tip: Stuttgart to win

Wolfsburg are in the middle of a deep crisis that even solid chance creation cannot solve. The team have produced the third-highest number of big chances in the league but remain wasteful in front of goal, failing to score in two of their last three games. They are winless in five league matches and haven’t won at home in eight, which has also affected player confidence. Defensive injuries to Vavro and Paredes force coach Simonis to experiment with his back line. Stuttgart, by contrast, are in excellent form and firmly entrenched in the top four, having won five of their last six competitive fixtures. Their defence is among the best in the Bundesliga – only Bayern and Dortmund have conceded fewer goals – and their transition play is highly effective. The absence of striker Demirovic slightly reduces their attacking threat, but they still possess enough firepower thanks to pacey wingers and attack-minded midfielders. This match is crucial for Stuttgart’s European ambitions, as tougher fixtures lie ahead. If they maintain focus and defensive discipline, they should comfortably handle Wolfsburg. Current form, team structure and tactical quality all point to an away win.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund (18.10.2025, 18:30)

Tip: Bayern Munich to win

The most anticipated Bundesliga match of the autumn is not just a prestige clash between fierce rivals, but also a potential indicator of how the rest of the season might unfold. Bayern are in a period of absolute dominance, winning all ten competitive matches so far and eight straight in the league. Their attack, spearheaded by Harry Kane, has been unstoppable – 25 goals in six league games and seven matches with three or more goals speak volumes. Despite several injuries in defence, Vincent Kompany’s system is functioning almost flawlessly, suffocating opponents with intensity and control. Dortmund have been solid, keeping four clean sheets in six league matches and showing progress defensively. They are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Bayern, which should give them confidence despite the absence of key midfielder Emre Can. However, Dortmund’s attack lacks the same cutting edge, and they could struggle to cope with Bayern’s relentless tempo. Much will depend on whether the visitors can survive the opening 30 minutes, during which Bayern often decide games. The Allianz Arena has long been an unhappy hunting ground for Dortmund, and that’s unlikely to change given Bayern’s current form. The match could be entertaining and full of goals, but the quality and power of the hosts should ultimately prevail.

Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt (19.10.2025, 15:30)

Tip: Freiburg to win

A clash between two teams in contrasting form promises an entertaining encounter at the Europa-Park Stadion. Freiburg are riding a wave of confidence, unbeaten in six competitive matches and on a four-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga. Victories over Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, combined with draws against Hoffenheim and Borussia Mönchengladbach, underline their consistency. Julian Schuster’s side also benefit from strong home form, having lost just one of their last four games on home soil. Frankfurt, on the other hand, are struggling – they have lost four of their last six matches and conceded 14 goals in their last four Bundesliga outings. The Eagles’ defence is crumbling, and despite Burkardt’s goalscoring form, it will be difficult to stop a strong home attack led by Junior Adamu. Although recent head-to-head meetings slightly favour Frankfurt, who have won the last two, current form clearly points towards the hosts. Freiburg play with structure, a solid defence and the ability to exploit their opponent’s weaknesses. The combination of better form, home advantage and Frankfurt’s defensive issues suggests that all three points will stay in Breisgau.

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim (19.10.2025, 17:30)

Tip: Double chance: Hoffenheim to win or draw

The Sunday evening clash features two teams desperately trying to end their poor runs of form. St. Pauli, after a promising start to the season, have fallen into crisis, losing their last three Bundesliga games without picking up a single point. Their attacking struggles are evident – they have scored just one goal in that period – and Alexander Blessin’s side has dropped from the top of the table to mid-table. Hoffenheim are not much better overall, but they boast one of the best away records in the league, collecting seven points from three matches on the road. Wins against Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin, as well as a draw in Freiburg, mean that all of their Bundesliga points so far have come away from home. Despite a number of injuries, coach Ilzer can still field a competitive side capable of punishing defensive mistakes. Although St. Pauli won both meetings last season, current form and attacking efficiency favour the visitors. A double chance on Hoffenheim to win or draw is the most logical option considering their away record and the home team’s current problems.

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