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French Ligue 1 Matchday 8 Preview (October 17–19, 2025) – 17.-19.10. 2025

Paris Saint-Germain vs Strasbourg (17.10.2025, 20:45)

Tip: Paris Saint-Germain to win

Paris Saint-Germain enter Friday's match knowing that a victory would strengthen their position at the top of Ligue 1. The reigning champions remain first after a 1-1 draw with Lille and have a perfect home record – three wins from three matches without conceding a goal. Under Luis Enrique, the team has not lost a league match at Parc des Princes since August 2023 and has never dropped points there against Strasbourg. PSG have won the last six home head-to-heads, scoring at least three goals in four of the last five meetings. Despite potential absences of key players such as Dembélé or Marquinhos, the Mbappé-led attack has enough quality to break through Strasbourg’s defence. Although Strasbourg impressed with a 5-0 win over Angers, their backline remains vulnerable – conceding five goals in their last two away matches. History, current form, and home advantage all point clearly towards PSG, who should confirm their strength and claim all three points.

Nice vs Lyon (18.10.2025, 17:00)

Tip: Double chance X2 (draw or Lyon to win)

Lyon head into this fixture in noticeably better form and, under Paulo Fonseca, have shown balance and tactical discipline. Their 4-3-3 system allows them to control the midfield well, where Tessmann and Tolisso dictate the tempo and create chances for the attacking trio. Nice, on the other hand, have long struggled with defensive organisation and often concede from set pieces and quick counterattacks. Sofiane Diop remains their main attacking threat, but the team overall lacks stability and efficiency in transitions. Statistically, Lyon appear more cohesive in recent weeks – with better possession, higher passing accuracy, and more danger in the final third. Nice can still be a threat at home through quick breaks led by Diop and Moffi, but if Lyon control the midfield, they should be in a stronger position to get a positive result. The safest bet is a double chance X2, as Lyon’s quality and current momentum give them a realistic chance of at least a draw, but more likely a win.

Angers vs Monaco (18.10.2025, 19:00)

Tip: Monaco to win

Monaco enter this match as clear favourites against an Angers side that have lost three straight league games, most recently suffering a heavy 5-0 defeat to Strasbourg. Defensive issues remain a major problem for the hosts, who concede too many goals and struggle to stay organised under pressure. Angers’ attack is also limited, particularly due to the absence of Jim Allevinah, and they mainly rely on occasional counterattacks. Monaco, by contrast, show greater stability and attacking power, led by creative force Ansu Fati, who scored twice in a recent 2-2 draw with Nice. The return of Thilo Kehrer will strengthen their defence, while their deeper squad allows for more tactical flexibility. History is also on Monaco’s side – they won 2-0 here in the last meeting and hold a dominant record overall. Given Angers’ poor form and Monaco’s superior squad and performances, an away win is the most likely outcome. A realistic scoreline prediction is 2-1 Monaco, reflecting their attacking superiority and Angers’ defensive struggles.

Marseille vs Le Havre (18.10.2025, 21:05)

Tip: Marseille to win

Marseille return from the international break in excellent form and firmly asserting their title ambitions. Roberto De Zerbi’s team have won their last four league matches and seven consecutive home games overall, underlining their formidable strength at the Orange Vélodrome. Victories against PSG, Strasbourg, and Metz demonstrate their quality and consistency, with the team currently just one point behind the league leaders. The attack led by Aubameyang and Gouiri is one of the most dangerous in France, supported by excellent midfield organisation. Le Havre have drawn several matches recently but remain one of the weakest attacking teams in the league and have scored just once away from home. Furthermore, they have lost their last nine league meetings with Marseille, highlighting the gap in quality between the two sides. If Marseille continue their current form, they should collect another three points comfortably and maintain pressure on PSG.

Lens vs Paris FC (19.10.2025, 15:00)

Tip: Lens to win

Lens are pushing for a return to European competition and a win over Paris FC would be another step in the right direction. The northern French side showed solid form before the international break, beating Auxerre away and extending their unbeaten run. Florian Thauvin remains a key attacking figure thanks to his technique and experience, while Odsonne Edouard and Abdallah Sima regularly make the difference. Lens are one of the best home teams in Ligue 1, with their high-pressing, quick-transition style causing problems for opponents. Paris FC, as a newly promoted team, are bold but still lack the quality of their hosts. Ilan Kebbal and Jean-Philippe Krasso are threats, but Paris often struggle and drop points away from home. Their defensive issues could prove costly against Lens’ strong attack. Lens have also won four of their last five home games against promoted sides. Better form, a deeper squad, and big-match experience suggest the hosts will confirm their favourite status. The most likely outcome is a Lens win.

Lorient vs Brest (19.10.2025, 17:15)

Tip: Double chance X2 (draw or Brest to win)

The Breton derby will feature two sides separated by just one point, and a very tight contest is expected. Lorient are strong at home, where they score most of their goals and collect the majority of their points. Their attacking productivity will be crucial – when they score two or more goals, they almost always earn points. Brest, however, have significantly improved defensively in recent weeks, conceding just once in their last three matches, a big improvement from the start of the season. Veteran striker Ludovic Ajorque is finding form and could be a key figure in this match. Brest have also won the last two derbies by a combined score of 5-0 and will want to prove their dominance again. Lorient are missing several important players, which could weaken their defensive structure. Derbies are often close and decided by individual moments, which currently favour the visitors. Brest’s stability and organisation make the double chance X2 – draw or Brest win – the most likely outcome.

Rennes vs Auxerre (19.10.2025, 17:15)

Tip: Rennes to win

Rennes have a chance to move closer to the European spots but need to start turning draws into wins. The team is in solid form, unbeaten in five matches, and they traditionally perform well at home. Quentin Merlin is one of the league’s most creative players and will be key to breaking down the opponent’s defence. Auxerre struggle particularly on the road, losing all three away games and failing to score in their last two. Discipline is another issue – three red cards so far this season show how often they are under pressure. History favours Rennes, who have won nine of their last 21 home meetings against Auxerre. Although Auxerre won both games last season, they are in much worse form this year and look shaky defensively. Rennes have the stronger squad and better overall quality, which should make the difference. If they play to their usual standard, they should take all three points. The tip is a Rennes win.

Toulouse vs Metz (19.10.2025, 17:15)

Tip: Toulouse to win

Toulouse boosted their confidence with a victory over Lyon and will look to build on that momentum against the bottom side. The hosts rely on a strong attack that has the quality to break down Metz’s shaky defence. Brazilian forward Emerson is in good form, and his pace and directness could be crucial. Metz, by contrast, are in deep crisis, still winless and among the worst defences in the league. They have conceded 15 goals in their last six matches and failed to score in three straight away games. Toulouse have also gone six league games unbeaten against this opponent, giving them a psychological edge. Metz rely on Habib Diallo, but isolated in attack he offers little threat. The hosts are also highly motivated to climb into mid-table, adding to their incentive. All factors point clearly to a home win. The most likely result is a Toulouse victory.

Nantes vs Lille (19.10.2025, 20:45)

Tip: Lille to win

A clash between two struggling teams promises a close match, but the quality lies with the visitors. Nantes are struggling in attack and have failed to win any of their last four matches. They tend to collect points more often at home but lack productivity and rely heavily on Mostafa Mohamed. Lille have slowed down after a strong start, but they remain one of the league’s best-organised sides, particularly in defence. Ethan Mbappé has become an influential figure and could make the difference again here. Lille have also won nearly 60% of their meetings with Nantes since 2000 and historically perform well away against them. The visitors will want to end their three-match winless run and push back towards European qualification. Nantes are also dealing with injury problems, reducing their chances of a surprise. Squad quality, experience, and superior style all give Lille the edge. The tip is a Lille win.

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