Portuguese Primeira Liga Matchday 5 Preview (September 12–14, 2025)

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Portuguese Primeira Liga Matchday 5 Preview (September 12–14, 2025) – 12.-14.9. 2025

Alverca vs Tondela (12.09.2025, 21:15)

Tip: Alverca Draw No Bet

Both Alverca and Tondela come into this match without a single win, making this clash a crucial opportunity to kickstart their seasons. The home side will rely heavily on Marko Milovanović, who has already scored two of Alverca’s four goals and continues to be a major threat inside the box with his movement. Tondela may boast a higher shot volume, but their conversion rate has been poor – just one goal in their last four games – which highlights their struggles in front of goal. The midfield battle will be key, with Isaac James likely to dictate the tempo and create chances for the home side. Alverca’s defense is combative and disciplined but prone to committing fouls – 56 in their last five matches – which could offer set-piece opportunities for Tondela. However, Alverca tend to play with more energy at home and are dangerous on the counterattack. This is expected to be a tight, tactical encounter where a single goal might settle it. Therefore, a Draw No Bet on Alverca looks the safest choice.

Benfica vs Santa Clara (12.09.2025, 21:15)

Tip: Benfica to Win

Benfica are enjoying a perfect start to the season, having extended their unbeaten run to eight matches across all competitions, with seven of those being wins. Bruno Lage’s men are playing dominant, possession-based football, often applying relentless pressure on opponents in the opening 30 minutes. Andreas Schjelderup is in great form and has been one of the standout players in attack, while new signing Amar Dedić has added pace and width, though he will be absent due to suspension. Santa Clara finally picked up their first win against Estoril, but their away form has been inconsistent and they have lost their last eight matches against Benfica. The hosts have enough squad depth to rotate and maintain a high tempo throughout the match. Santa Clara will likely sit deep and look for quick counterattacks through Gabriel Silva, but Benfica’s quality should be too much for them to handle. Expect Benfica to take control early and kill the game off before full time. The tip is a clear home win for Benfica.

Estoril Praia vs AVS (13.09.2025, 16:30)

Tip: Estoril Praia to Win

Estoril find themselves near the bottom of the table but have the quality to climb out of danger, starting with this crucial home fixture. Coach Ian Cathro will welcome the return of Kevin Boma in defense and Lominadze in midfield, both of whom should stabilize the team and improve creativity. AVS have a miserable record with just four wins from their last 35 league matches, and their defensive frailties continue to cost them points this season. Estoril have players such as Rafik Guitane, who brings energy and tempo into the attack and is capable of unlocking defenses with a key pass. Home advantage and crowd support could be decisive factors in a match where both teams are desperate for points. AVS do possess pace in transition, but their defense is error-prone and often switches off at key moments. Estoril are expected to see more of the ball and create the clearer chances over 90 minutes. A narrow 1-0 or 2-1 win for the hosts looks the most likely outcome.

Moreirense vs Rio Ave (13.09.2025, 16:30)

Tip: Moreirense to Win

Moreirense opened the season with three consecutive wins, which suggests that under new coach Vasco da Costa they have found the right balance between attack and defense. Their 0-2 defeat to Gil Vicente served as a wake-up call, but they now return home where they have traditionally been very strong. André Luis is leading the line and is expected to be crucial once again, providing the main threat against Rio Ave. The visitors are still searching for their first win of the campaign, although Clayton’s brace against Braga proved they are capable of scoring goals. Their main issue remains their inability to hold on to leads, having conceded late equalizers in several matches. While Rio Ave have enjoyed a good head-to-head record at this stadium in recent seasons, this Moreirense side looks more compact and resilient. The hosts have kept two clean sheets from their opening four matches and will look to build on that defensive solidity. This is likely to be a close game, but Moreirense should have the quality to edge it.

Porto vs Nacional (13.09.2025, 19:00)

Tip: Porto to Win

Porto are flying high after a perfect start to the season, winning all four matches and climbing to the top of the table thanks to their crucial 2-1 victory over Sporting. Francesco Farioli’s team play intense, attacking football and have conceded just once so far – and that was an own goal. Nacional may have claimed their first win of the season away at Casa Pia, but facing Porto at the Dragão is an entirely different challenge. Luuk de Jong and Willian José have been responsible for most of Porto’s goals and, if fit, will again be the main danger men. Porto have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning seven of the last ten meetings at home and keeping clean sheets in most of them. The visitors will likely defend deep and look to hit on the counter, but Porto’s firepower and pressing should wear them down. If Porto score first, they are expected to control the game comfortably. The tip is a straightforward home win, possibly by more than one goal.

Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon (13.09.2025, 21:30)

Tip: Sporting Lisbon to Win

Famalicao have enjoyed a fantastic start to the season, remaining unbeaten and becoming the only team yet to concede a goal, making them the league’s best defensive side so far. Sporting, however, will be eager to bounce back after their defeat in O Clássico against Porto and have the squad depth to get the job done. Luis Suarez is in superb form, having scored four goals for Colombia during the international break, and will be Sporting’s biggest attacking weapon. The absence of Realpe due to suspension could weaken Famalicao’s defense, making them more vulnerable to Sporting’s pressure. The midfield pairing of Hjulmand and Morita should give Sporting control in the center of the park, dictating the tempo and creating openings. Sporting also hold a psychological advantage with seven consecutive league wins over Famalicao, which will boost their confidence. This is expected to be a tight, tactical game where patience will be key. Sporting should create enough clear chances to finally break Famalicao’s clean-sheet streak and secure a narrow away win, likely by a single goal.

Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria de Guimaraes (14.09.2025, 15:30)

Tip: Double Chance 1X (Estrela not to lose)

Estrela Amadora may still be without a win, but their three draws from four matches suggest that José Augusto Faria’s team are becoming more compact and difficult to beat. The switch back to three at the back has stabilised their defence and given them more confidence. Vitoria de Guimaraes, on the other hand, have struggled badly on the road – they are one of only two clubs yet to claim a single away point this season. The departure of Tiago Silva to Qatar weakened their creativity, leaving more responsibility on veteran Nelson Oliveira and winger Gustavo Silva. Estrela will be motivated to use home advantage to finally break their winless run, and even a draw would be a decent result. Therefore, we back Estrela to avoid defeat with the 1X option.

Arouca vs Casa Pia (14.09.2025, 18:00)

Tip: Arouca to win

Arouca are very strong at home, unbeaten in five consecutive matches here with three wins in that run. Nais Djouahra has quickly become a key player, scoring three goals in four games. Casa Pia are in poor form, losing three of their first four matches, and have been struggling away from home since February with six defeats and three draws in their last ten away games. They are also missing key players including goalkeeper Ricardo Batista and midfielder Kelian Nsona, which weakens their spine. With a full squad available, Arouca have a great chance to move up the table. We expect the hosts to take all three points.

Braga vs Gil Vicente (14.09.2025, 20:30)

Tip: Braga to win

Braga remain unbeaten in all competitions and, although their last two league games ended in draws, they still boast one of the most talented squads in the league. Carlos Vicens will look to tighten up the defence, but the attack continues to fire with ten goals scored so far. Gil Vicente have been solid defensively with just two goals conceded, but they usually struggle against stronger opponents. Braga have won four of the last five meetings, including last season’s 2-0 home victory. Ricardo Horta’s return is a major boost and should add creativity and goals. We expect Braga to get back to winning ways at home.

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